Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 112.028557 129.739827 150.883939 178.449667 214.160646 2.599448e+02 325.005855
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 88.893948 109.902119 137.719428 178.787749 240.903208 3.373856e+02 514.030480
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 76.056839 97.470066 127.535465 175.370806 255.364759 3.978701e+02 719.008940
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 67.303538 88.612819 119.906998 172.760963 268.948421 4.630209e+02 1004.453456
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 61.521595 82.891281 115.522817 173.673181 288.277122 5.505681e+02 1487.445324
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 56.808758 78.011922 111.462736 173.892452 306.073752 6.477457e+02 2259.043328
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 51.517568 71.577299 103.871130 165.934779 303.671899 6.911912e+02 2977.152867
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 49.264221 69.652728 103.494393 171.544241 334.364927 8.637240e+02 5834.984139
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 45.655393 65.153395 98.052768 165.871008 335.212868 9.362216e+02 9005.891320
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 43.572078 62.966164 96.429762 167.824552 357.287676 1.125494e+03 22657.799437
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 41.023049 59.768122 92.588398 164.231783 362.455089 1.248481e+03 58139.768044
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 40.773837 60.457792 96.035271 177.747892 426.709284 1.853362e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.274982 62.854540 103.819532 205.900631 573.313883 4.170059e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.955720 59.988314 100.755481 206.050596 616.004270 6.159687e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.602151 56.807319 96.552100 201.890894 636.872672 8.478890e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.586380 54.080722 92.972477 198.670375 661.744581 1.244911e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.095485 52.216302 91.021078 199.793938 713.843930 2.376089e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.693399 50.401609 88.949999 200.063299 764.008276 5.482816e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.787997 47.470922 84.054180 190.297248 740.241638 7.031467e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.060708 46.796778 84.237434 197.176690 845.274482 1.840821e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.598169 44.560757 80.555681 190.219162 837.423101 4.415946e+09 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.766249 43.532349 79.618742 192.612284 914.742011 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.641364 41.840587 76.933355 188.213254 926.952398 NaN NaN